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Why bitcoin faces a possible collapse: key factors

Bitcoin Faces Potential Collapse | Centralized Control and Market Manipulation Raising Concerns

By

David Lapin

Oct 5, 2025, 06:34 PM

Edited By

Lena Fischer

3 minutes reading time

A Bitcoin symbol breaking apart, representing potential market collapse, with dark clouds in the background.
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The ongoing debate about Bitcoin's stability is heating up as concerns grow over market manipulation and the potential for collapse. People are questioning how cryptocurrencies could withstand increasing centralization and the role of entities like Tether in propping up prices.

Centralized Exchanges and Wash Trades: A Disturbing Reality

Recent findings reveal that nearly 95% of trading on centralized exchanges is considered wash trading. This practice raises serious doubts about market integrity and the valuation of cryptocurrencies.

Interest around how Tether operates has intensified, as it can generate USDT freely, leading to questions about its backing and real value. Various comments suggest that a lack of formal audits could mean that people are holding onto inflated assets.

Impact of Institutional Players and Speculation

People are wary about the concentration of Bitcoin in a few hands. As one commenter pointed out:

"The instant someone calls a cheque in real money and the criminals canโ€™t cover that, it will collapse."

This highlights fears that significant sell-offs could push Bitcoin's value down drastically.

Additionally, comments suggest that companies like Microstrategy may trigger the next downturn.

"I believe weโ€™re 6-12 months from a significant collapse."

With Microstrategy's stock diverging from Bitcoin's movements, the ground is shifting for many investors. If it were to liquidate holdings, it could lead to a waterfall effect.

The Role of Tether Amid Skepticism

Critics have questioned the credibility of the claims surrounding stablecoins. It's becoming increasingly clear that:

  • Audits: There is insufficient evidence that Tether has undergone a proper, independent audit. Many suggest reframing the term audit to attestation.

  • Liquidity: A rush to cash in cryptocurrencies could expose weaknesses in liquidity. Once people start withdrawing their assets, fear could drive prices down quickly.

One comment encapsulates this concern:

"The same way speculative bubbles usually collapsea major shock happensand we find out how much liquidity there really is."

Key Points to Consider

  • ๐Ÿ”น 95% of centralized trades are wash trades, calling into question market stability.

  • โš ๏ธ Tether's ability to print USDT might not guarantee its current value.

  • ๐Ÿ”ป Analysts warn of a potential collapse driven by institutional entities.

  • โ“ Could the rising skepticism lead to a market crash like no other?

As these issues linger, Bitcoin's future remains uncertain. With significant signs of manipulation and a lack of regulatory oversight, many are left wondering how long it can maintain its value amidst the looming threats.

Uncertain Roads Ahead for Bitcoin's Stability

Thereโ€™s a strong chance that Bitcoin may face significant volatility in the coming months, with predictions suggesting a possible drop in value by up to 30% if key institutional players like Microstrategy decide to liquidate their holdings. Experts estimate around a 60% probability that increasing fears around Tetherโ€™s reserves could lead to a wider market panic, similar to events preceding past downturns. If wash trading continues to dominate trading practices, the integrity of Bitcoin's market will remain questionable, potentially deterring new investment and diminishing public trust, which could spiral even further in a crisis.

The Sudden Collapse of the Tulip Mania

A fresh perspective can be drawn from the tulip mania of the 17th century. Consider how tulip prices soared to unimaginable heights, driven by speculation and a few wealthy hands, before crashing dramatically in 1637. Just like Bitcoinโ€™s current landscape, the tulip bubble was fueled by a sense of urgency and greed, yet when reality hit, many found themselves with worthless bulbs. Both situations reflect a monumental shift built on ungrounded valuations and poor regulation, which could leave many scrambling when the system falters.