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Pi network analysis: is it free crypto or a scam?

Pi Network | Free Crypto Opportunity or Overhyped Scam?

By

Omar El-Sayed

May 20, 2025, 02:36 PM

Edited By

Rajesh Kumar

3 minutes reading time

Representation of Pi Network's cryptocurrency with coins and a smartphone in a user's hand
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The Pi Network, launched by Stanford grads on Pi Day in 2019, promises users free cryptocurrency just by tapping their phones daily. However, growing skepticism reveals that claims of millions participating may be inflated. Many users doubt the project's legitimacy, raising alarms over its business model and real user engagement.

The Controversy Behind Pi Network

Some Pi advocates tout the app as a revolutionary way for everyday people to earn cryptocurrency. But critics are increasingly vocal. Insights into user behavior show a stark difference between reported numbers and actual engagement:

  • While Pi claims around 70 million users, data shows only 8-9 million wallets were migrated on-chain by early 2025, a mere 15% of claimed users.

  • The app has just 5 million downloads in app stores, indicating many who signed up are inactive.

As one commenter stated, "Fools gold, want proof, name 10 non DeFi use cases."

Baffling Business Model and Tokenomics

Pi Network's economy raises eyebrows for its unique structure:

  • No ICO: The project hasn't held a token sale, and buying or selling its tokens outside the app is flagged as fake.

  • Inflation Issues: Initial mining rewards led to around 4.9 billion Pi unlocked by early 2025, with critics noting inflation significantly outpacing any real demand.

Analysts warn this excessive supply could dilute the token's value, with prices already near all-time lows, fueling speculation about its viability.

"Pi's network doesn't seem to align with reality," noted industry experts.

Spiraling User Growth and Marketing Tactics

Typically, Pi's growth hinges on a word-of-mouth marketing strategy, especially in developing regions. Pioneers earn bonuses for inviting friends into the network. This viral tactic has contributed to Pi's astonishing growth, but many now liken it to pyramid schemes:

  • Users report social pressure to recruit others, with early adopters benefitting most.

  • "It works like direct selling promising future rewards for bringing in new users," one expert commented.

Experts Weigh In on Pi's Future

Criticism extends beyond user numbers. Some experts assert:

  • The network is centralized despite its claims of decentralization, as control lies with the core team.

  • Permissioned structures erase much of the promised transparency.

Justin Bons, a noted crypto analyst, even labeled Pi a "fully permissioned scam" based on its high inflation and marketing structure reminiscent of established scams.

Caution Ahead

With doubts circulating, potential users are advised to proceed with caution. While Pi Network initially offers a low-stakes entry into crypto, real questions linger about its long-term sustainability and true purpose. As echoes of skepticism grow, one wonders, is this just a social experiment or a risky gamble in disguise?

Key Insights

  • โ—พ 70M claimed users vs. 5M downloads stirs suspicion.

  • โ—พ 4.9B tokens unlocked, with inflation fears rising.

  • โ—พ Experts warn of a potential pyramid structure in marketing.

For those entranced by the lure of easy earnings, remember: just because it looks like gold doesnโ€™t mean it isnโ€™t a foolโ€™s errand.

The Road Ahead for Pi Network

There is a strong possibility that Pi Network will face increasing scrutiny in the coming months. As more people express concerns over its legitimacy, the likelihood of regulatory action grows. Experts estimate around a 70% chance that the current user base will shrink if the lack of genuine engagement continues. Additionally, as inflation continues to rise, the tokenโ€™s value could decline further, reaching a point where it becomes unusable for everyday transactions. If current marketing tactics persist, there's also a notable probability โ€” about 60% โ€” that it might become associated with a larger wave of skepticism regarding similar projects, potentially leading to a broader reevaluation of blockchain-based earning schemes.

An Unexpected Echo from the Past

Consider the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, where flashy promises and user growth masked financial instability. Just as companies like Pets.com garnered attention with flashy ads but struggled to deliver value, Pi draws a parallel with its enrollment numbers that do not translate into genuine engagement. Many engaged with these businesses out of curiosity or hype, leading to inflated stock valuations based on reported metrics that didnโ€™t survive reality. Like the ill-fated dot-coms, Pi Network may quickly find that the gold it promised is just bronze, tarnishing its luster in the eyes of both skeptics and hopefuls.