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Gemini exec claims bitcoin cycle likely to persist

Bitcoin Cycle to Continue? | Gemini Exec Shares Insight

By

Michael O'Neill

Oct 4, 2025, 10:01 AM

Edited By

Alice Mercer

2 minutes reading time

A Gemini executive speaking at a conference about the future of Bitcoin and cryptocurrency trends.
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In a recent statement that is sparking conversation, Saad Ahmed, head of Gemini's Asian Pacific operations, asserted that a continuation of Bitcoin's cycle is quite possible. This speculation comes amidst a surge in Bitcoin's value, which jumped 11.5% recently, nearing its all-time high.

The Heart of the Discussion

Bitcoin's historical four-year cycle, often driven by human emotions and market dynamics, remains a hot topic among industry insiders. Institutional participation may introduce greater stability, but many analysts believe the cycle will persist.

"The cycles are expected to continue," Ahmed stated, highlighting ongoing debates around the relevance of these cycles.

Several analysts, including firms like Glassnode and Rekt Capital, have indicated that the current cycle could peak soon. Interestingly, Q4 has historically been a strong quarter for Bitcoin.

Key Themes from the Commentary

  • Market Dynamics: The relationship between market emotions and Bitcoin cycles appears to be crucial, making it a focal point for many commentators.

  • Volatility and Institutions: Thereโ€™s a mix of sentiments about whether institutional involvement will lead to less volatility or just a different kind of fluctuation altogether.

  • Upcoming Trends: Speculation about the cycleโ€™s peak creates an air of anticipation, reflecting on how past performance can influence future trends.

Quotes from the Community

  • "Lol what form?" one commenter quipped, indicating skepticism.

  • Another comment emphasized, "The debate about Bitcoin's cycle relevance remains strong."

Sentiment Overview

While some voices expressed skepticism, others are optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory as the year closes out.

Key Insights

  • โœฆ Analysts speculate a cycle peak may occur shortly.

  • โœฆ Recent Bitcoin jump reflects underlying market excitement.

  • โœฆ "The cycles can't be ignored," remarked a prominent analyst on the forums.

With Bitcoin's continued growth in 2025, people are keenly observing what comes next and how institutions will react in the volatile landscape of cryptocurrency. Will the cycle remain a guiding light, or will it fade into irrelevance? Only time will tell.

Anticipating Market Movements

As the year draws to a close, thereโ€™s a strong chance that Bitcoin's value could reach new heights. Analysts suggest that approximately 60% probability exists for the current cycle to peak soon, particularly with Q4 historically being a robust time for Bitcoin. The sentiment in forums reflects that people's excitement might drive the price upwards further, especially if institutional investors continue to engage in the market. If these trends hold, we could see Bitcoin testing its all-time high, potentially followed by a consolidation phase before the next cycle begins.

A Historical Lens on Speculation

The current moment in the cryptocurrency world echoes the speculative frenzy surrounding tulip bulbs in 17th century Netherlands. At the time, wild price jumps and emotional trading created an environment where prices soared to absurd heights based on anticipation and market sentiment rather than intrinsic value. Just like those tulips, Bitcoin's growth relies heavily on communal emotion and collective belief in its worth. Whether this leads to lasting stability or a dramatic crash remains to be seen, but the parallels illustrate how human behavior can shape markets in unexpected ways.