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Bitcoin's floor price: predictions for the next bear market

Bitcoin's Floor Price | What's Next for BTC in Bear Market?

By

Sophie Reynolds

Jul 21, 2025, 03:32 AM

Edited By

Omar Khan

2 minutes reading time

Graph showing Bitcoin's price trends and potential floor price estimates for the next bear market
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As Bitcoin's price fluctuations continue, many in the community are eyeing potential floor prices. Recent discussions reveal a variety of opinions on how low BTC may go in the next downturn.

Current Insights on Bitcoin's Price

Experts and people alike speculate about Bitcoin's stability. With a solid rebound after recent disruptions, the focus shifts to how low BTC could drop in the event of a bear market.

Floor Predictions

  • Hard Floors: Commenters suggest that Bitcoin's floor could stabilize between $70K to $90K, marking a significant support level.

  • Historical Trends: Others noted the significance of the 200-week moving average (WMA), currently at $50K, indicating a rising floor in the cryptocurrency market.

"The crash is a gift to the faithful. Itโ€™s also temporary so you wanna be ready to scoop,โ€ one user said, suggesting that dips can present buying opportunities.

Market Sentiment

There is a mixed sentiment when it comes to how low Bitcoin might fall.

  • Some believe it could drop to $60K to $70K during major market shocks.

  • Others are less concerned, with one saying they would be shocked to see Bitcoin drop below $70K again.

Factors Influencing the Market

  1. Market Adaptation: Many believe the market has adjusted, suggesting that BTCโ€™s worth below $100K may always be viewed as a discount.

  2. Recent Events: Historical events, such as the drop to $75K during the April tariff scare, bring attention to volatile conditions, raising questions about upcoming shocks or recessions.

  3. Buyer Behavior: A user mentioned how "dip buyers" are likely to come in whenever prices look attractive, especially when BTC approaches the $100K mark.

Key Takeaways

  • โ–ฝ Predictions set the floor in the $70K to $90K range.

  • โ–ณ The 200 WMA remains a reliable historical indicator.

  • โ€ป "I think the market has already adapted" - A leading comment on market confidence.

As the discussion around Bitcoinโ€™s pricing evolves, experts and people in the community prepare for potential market shifts. With various predictions on how low BTC might drop, only time will reveal its true floor.

What's Next for BTC?

As the Bitcoin community anticipates its next moves, experts estimate a likelihood of BTC stabilizing between $70K and $90K. There's a strong chance the price could dip into the $60K range during significant market pressures, with about a 60% probability of major buyers stepping in to capitalize on any discounts. The overall sentiment seems to indicate that despite potential volatility, the market has adapted to value BTC under $100K as a favorable buy, reducing the chance of panic selling.

A Lesson from the Past

Consider the rise and fall of tech stocks during the dot-com bubble in the early 2000s. Many investors expected the value to collapse, but instead, it laid the groundwork for a more robust digital economy. Similarly, Bitcoin's current fluctuations could be seen as a necessary shake-up, paving the way for its eventual stabilization and acceptance like a tenacious weed breaking through pavement. Just as tech stocks rebounded, Bitcoin may find its footing, growing something even more resilient despite the turmoil.