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Analyzing black friday trends: btc corrections over years

Bitcoin's Historical Dips: A Pattern on Black Fridays? | Investors Speculate

By

Liu Wei

Nov 18, 2025, 11:57 PM

Edited By

Omar Al-Sabah

2 minutes reading time

Graph showing Bitcoin price decline during Black Friday from 2018 to 2022
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As Black Friday approaches, a growing number of people are recalling Bitcoin's past performance. Historical data from 2018, 2019, 2021, and 2022 shows notable corrections following the shopping holiday. Many are left wondering if this year will follow suit.

Amid current trends, some users are taking proactive measures. A comment on the user board suggests, "Iโ€™m thinking of telling my friends to buy BTC on Bitget now." This strategy aims to leverage potential gains to acquire more Bitcoin at a lower price.

The Conversations Surrounding Bitcoin's Future

Sales strategies aren't the only topic of discussion. Comments reflect a mix of skepticism and anticipation. One remark questioned, "Does the McRib indicator leave off 2020 Black Friday arrow too?" This sarcastic jab hints at uncertainty in indicators used for predicting Bitcoin's price movements.

Another comment bluntly states, "Safe to assume down from here," showcasing a bearish sentiment among some forum participants.

Interestingly, a notice indicated a shift away from price discussions, saying, "Your submission has been flagged for removal because it pertains to general trading" This suggests an ongoing tension between market speculation and platform regulations.

Notable Quotes from the Conversations

"Iโ€™m thinking of telling my friends to buy BTC on Bitget now."

"Safe to assume down from here."

Key Observations

  • Past Performances: Historical data indicates corrections often follow Black Fridays.

  • Mixed Opinions: Sentiments range from cautious optimism to bearish expectations.

  • Regulatory Attention: Community discussions increasingly face scrutiny, limiting price talk.

๐Ÿšจ Bitcoin remains a hot topic as investors question the next moves. With only days until Black Friday, the market's response could impact trading strategies across the board. Are investors prepared for potential shifts?

What Lies Ahead for Bitcoin?

There's a strong chance Bitcoin could experience corrections following this year's Black Friday, mirroring past patterns. Analysts estimate around a 60% probability that the price will dip after the holiday shopping surge, given the historical data from previous years. External factors, such as regulatory developments and broader market sentiment, point toward a cautious atmosphere among investors. Increased scrutiny could further dampen trading discussions as platforms enforce stricter content rules. If the market behaves like it has in the past, we may see a notable pullback in Bitcoinโ€™s value, prompting many to reconsider their strategies in the coming weeks.

A Historical Echo Beyond Crypto

In 2008, during the Great Recession, many turned to gold as a safe haven amid economic uncertainty. Just like Bitcoin today, gold became a focal point for those seeking stability. The striking parallel lies in the behavior of people during times of drastic market changeโ€”both assets draw in cautious investors hoping for a hedge against downturns. Just as gold saw buoyancy despite the surrounding turmoil, Bitcoin could rally if current market anxieties push investors back into top-tier cryptocurrencies, irrespective of short-term price fluctuations. This comparison sheds light on how historical trends can inform current choices, revealing that financial instincts often echo across different eras.