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Altcoin alert: analyst predicts further declines against bitcoin

Crypto Analyst Sounds Alarm | Altcoins Expected to Drop Against Bitcoin

By

Hannah Schmidt

Jul 5, 2025, 09:35 PM

3 minutes reading time

A graph showing a downward trend of altcoins compared to Bitcoin, with a cautionary symbol in the corner.
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In a recent warning, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen highlights the likelihood of altcoins continuing to lose value in relation to Bitcoin amid ongoing U.S. economic policies. This prediction stirs frustration among some in the crypto community, with part of the commentary reflecting disbelief toward Cowen's insights.

Context of Cowenโ€™s Warning

Cowenโ€™s analysis stems from the current U.S. monetary policy, which many believe limits both new investment and market growth. His historical perspective reveals a trend where altcoins typically struggle against Bitcoin during the fourth quarter, often after brief summer rallies.

"Altcoins may lose value against BTC, yet can still rise in USD terms," Cowen remarked, underlining a vital distinction in crypto trading.

Community Reactions

The sentiment around Cowen's analysis is mixed. Some comments outright dismiss his credibility, suggesting he often misses the mark. One user stated, "Dude acts like BTC Jesus but is often wrong," indicating skepticism about his predictions.

Conversely, several commenters pointed out that his caution regarding altcoins aligns with recent market trends, where many have been underperforming. A prevailing theme emerges:

  • There's a clear divideโ€”supporters credit Cowen for accurate altcoin predictions over an extended period, while opponents cite past inaccuracies.

  • There's frustration concerning the apparent manipulation of smaller coins, with claims that have tarnished their reputation in the long run. As one user noted, "A lot of alt coins are easily manipulated by companies wash trading and spoofing orders."

  • The influence of institutional money has shifted the focus back to Bitcoin, making altcoins seem like a โ€œdead cause,โ€ as another user expressed: "Everything is becoming more bitcoin centered."

Takeaways from the Community

  • ๐Ÿ”ป "Dude has made me a lot of money. Heโ€™s mostly right"

  • โœ… Many blame institutional investors for the decline of altcoins against Bitcoin.

  • ๐Ÿฆ "Some Bitcoin holders turn into panic sellers when the market dips."

Interestingly, sentiment does lean slightly negative toward Cowenโ€™s predictive reliability, yet many agree that staying aware of BTCโ€™s dominance is crucial.

As discussions around monetary policies and altcoin viability heat up, will the upcoming financial moves spark a resurgence for these coins, or will they continue to trail behind Bitcoin? The markets await answers.

Future of Altcoins in Relation to Bitcoin

As 2025 progresses, the outlook for altcoins seems increasingly bleak, with experts estimating a roughly 60% chance that these currencies will continue to lag behind Bitcoin. This prediction stems from the prevailing U.S. monetary policies that restrict investment in the altcoin market. The past suggests that altcoins typically decline in value against Bitcoin during the year's fourth quarter, especially after previous summer gains. Institutional investors appear poised to keep their focus fixed on Bitcoin, exacerbating the trends Cowen outlined. If new economic measures continue to unfold without favoring altcoins, a significant drop in value could become a near certainty, with experts estimating possible falls of 20% to 30% in altcoin valuations by year-end.

A Historical Echo of Market Dynamics

Consider the tech bubble of the late 1990s when smaller companies struggled under the weight of valuation expectations while established giants like Microsoft and Intel soared. During that era, many people believed in the potential of smaller firms, risking everything to invest, only to see their hopes dashed as market focus shifted to bigger, more stable entities. While not a direct parallel to the current altcoin situation, it reflects how speculative environments can dramatically alter the investment landscape. Just as tech stocks that once held promise faded into obscurity, so too could many altcoins if the ongoing trends favor Bitcoinโ€™s dominance.